ISSN: 2373-6372GHOA

Gastroenterology & Hepatology: Open Access
Research Article
Volume 5 Issue 8 - 2016
Pathology Predictors of Response to Combined Therapy of Chronic HCV Patients; Is it Applicable in the DAA Era?
Basem El-Sayed Eysa El-Sayed1, Gamal El-Din Esmat2, Wahed Doss2, Ehsan Hassan Hassan1, Rasha Ahmed2 and Samar K Darweesh2
1Department of Pathology, National Hepatology and Tropical Medicine Research Institute, Egypt
2Department of Tropical Medicine and Hepato-gastroenterology, Cairo University, Egypt
Received: August 16, 2016 | Published: December 30, 2016
*Corresponding author: Samar Kamal Darweesh, Department of Tropical Medicine and Hepato-gastroenterology, Fcaulty of Medicine, Cairo University, 63, abo Dawood El-Thahery St, Nasr city, Cairo, Egypt, Tel: 002- 01000702766; Email:
Citation: El-Sayed BEE, Esmat GE, Doss W, Hassan EH Ahmed R, et al. (2016) Pathology Predictors of Response to Combined Therapy of Chronic HCV Patients; Is it Applicable in the DAA Era? Gastroenterol Hepatol Open Access 5(8): 00176. DOI: 10.15406/ghoa.2016.05.00176


Introduction & aim: Liver biopsy has been considered the ''gold standard'' of diagnosis, the most direct way of visualizing the necroinflammatory and architectural status of liver in HCV patients planned for therapy. We aimed to study the relation between pathological findings in liver biopsy and their impacts on sustained virological response (SVR) in HCV patients receiving pegylated interferon and ribavirin (Peg/Riba).

Methods: A retrospective analysis on data collected from 1486 HCV patients receiving Peg/Riba between May 2012 and May 2013 at the National Hepatology and Tropical Medicine Research Institute (NHTMRI). Initial labs before treatment including percutaneous liver biopsy were analyzed in relation to virological response.

Results: 982 (66.1%) of patients were males and 504 (33.9%) were females. The mean age was (43.72 ± 9.527y), with 1008 (67.8%) more than 40 years. Higher SVR achieved in patients with no or mild steatosis than moderate to severe degrees (96% vs 4%, p: 0.001). More than 60% of patients with no or mild fibrosis showed SVR (p: 0.04). Patients with mild activity showed much higher SVR than patients with severe or advanced activity (67.1% vs 32.9%, p: 0.001). Negative viral load at w12 was significantly higher in patients with no or mild fibrosis (96.7% vs 94.9%, p: 0.004), no or mild steatosis (95.7% vs 94%, p: 0.024), but was not related to activity (95.8% vs 95.7%, p: 0.869).

Conclusion: Steatosis, fibrosis and activity affected treatment outcome and could directly affect treatment decision. The response rate of peginterferon alpha 2a was comparable to alpha 2b. These findings are important to decide antiviral course in patients with multiple DAA RAVs leading to failure.

Keywords: HCV; Liver biopsy; Steatosis; Peginterferon; Viral response


Peg/Riba; Pegylated Interferon and Ribavirin; SVR: Sustained Viral Response; AFP; Alpha Fetoprotein; NHTMRI: National Hepatology and Tropical Medicine Research Institute


In nearly 50 years since Menghini popularized the use of percutaneous needle biopsy, microscopic evaluation of the liver has remained an important modality in the diagnosis and management of patients with liver disease. For patients with chronic hepatitis, liver biopsy has been considered the ‘‘gold standard’’ of diagnosis [1].

There are three primary reasons for performing a liver biopsy: it provides helpful information on the current status of the liver injury, it identifies features useful in the decision to embark on therapy, and it may reveal advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis that necessitates surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and/or screening for varices [2].

We aimed to study the relation between histopathological findings in liver biopsy and their impacts on SVR in HCV patients receiving pegylated interferon and ribavirin.

Patients and Methods

This was a retrospective analysis done on data collected from 1486 HCV infected patients receiving combined treatment in the form of pegylated interferon and ribavirin (Peg/Riba) between May 2012 and May 2013 at the National Hepatology and Tropical Medicine Research Institute (NHTMRI). This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Centre and an informed consent (printed in Arabic) was obtained from all participants.

These patients fulfilled the criteria for antiviral therapy that included:

  1. Male or female age 18 years or older
  2. White blood cell count >3000/mm3.
  3. Neutrophil count > 1500/mm3
  4. Platelets > 80,000/mm3
  5. Hemoglobin >12gm in females, 13gm in males
  6. Prothrombin time < 2 seconds above ULN
  7. Direct bilirubin 0.3 mg/dl or within 20% of ULN
  8. Indirect bilirubin 0.8 mg/dl or within 20% ULN
  9. Fasting blood sugar 115 mg or within 20% ULN
  10. Albumin > 3.5gm
  11. Serum Creatinine within normal level (WNL)
  12. TSH (WNL)
  13. HBsAg Negative
  14. ANA < 1:160.
  15. Positive anti-HCV and HCV RNA
  16. If diabetic, A1C < 8.5%
  17. Alpha Fetoprotein <100 ng/mL. If Alpha Feto-Protein >100 ng/mL CT should be performed
  18. Female patient practicing adequate contraception
  19. Male patient’s wife practicing adequate contraception
  20. Signed written informed consent before starting treatment
  21. Liver Biopsy within one year before treatment
  22. Body Mass Index less than 30 %.

Inclusion criteria

  1. Patient is eligible for Peg/Riba therapy national protocol.
  2. Patient has done liver biopsy in NHTMRI.
  3.  Adherence to the therapy should be verified.

Exclusion criteria

  1. Liver biopsy done outside NHTMRI.
  2. Adherence to the therapy could not be verified.

From the patients data we analyzed the initial laboratory investigations (CBC, liver profile, serum creatinine, HCV RNA, AFP) before starting treatment including also percutaneous liver biopsy.

Assessment of treatment outcome by estimation of quantitative HCV RNA by PCR at five time points; pretreatment, week 12, week 24, week 48 and week 72.

This study complies with treatment regimens and guidelines for enrollment with the national treatment program that were announced by the Ministry of Health in Egypt before the introduction of DAAs. Two treatment regimens were announced:

1) Pegylated interferon (peg-INF) + ribavirin + sofosbuvir for 3 months
2) Sofosbuvir + ribavirin for 6 months (for patients who are intolerant to INF) [3].

Liver biopsy

Liver biopsies were ultrasound-guided, obtained percutaneously by a Menghini needle (14G) with 1.6mm internal diameter. All biopsies were fixed in formalin, embedded in paraffin and sectioned by microtome with a thickness of 5 µm. Slides were stained with Hematoxylin and Eosin (5 levels), Masson's trichrome (5 levels), for a total of 10 levels per specimen. All levels were screened. All specimens were examined by two pathologists and classified by consensus for all abnormal histological findings. The histological activity index (or histological grade) was determined using Ishak grading scheme expressed as a semi-quantitative score for portal inflammation (0-4), lobular activity sporadic lytic foci (0-4) and parenchymal confluent necrosis (0-6), and piecemeal necrosis (0-4). The extent of fibrosis (or histological stage) was determined using Ishak score (0-6). Steatosis was scored from grade 0 to 3.

Statistical analysis

Data were analyzed using PASW statistics 18. Numerical data were expressed as mean and standard deviation. Qualitative data were expressed as frequency and percentage. Chi-square test (Fisher’s exact test) was used to examine the relation between qualitative variables. For quantitative data normally distributed, comparison between two groups was done using t-test. Comparison between 3 groups or more was done using ANOVA test. For quantitative and qualitative data not normally distributed, comparison was done using Kruskal-Wallis test. Logistic regression model was done for predictors' detection at 95% confidence level. Spearman-rho method was used to test correlation between numerical and different scoring variables. A p-value < 0.05 was considered significant.


Basic characteristics

One thousand four hundreds and eighty six patients infected with HCV and experienced treatment with peginterferon and weight based ribavirin for 48 weeks; 982 (66.1%) of them were males and 504 (33.9%) were females. The mean age of them was (43.72 ± 9.527) years, with 1008 (67.8%) were more than 40 years old. The mean body mass index was (27.51 ± 3.231).

Liver biopsy pathological report, of fibrosis stage, activity grade and steatosis are found in Table 1. 819 (55.1%) patients had INF alpha 2a, and 667 (44.9%) had INF alpha 2b. The overall sustained virological response (SVR) was 60.6%. The SVR was 60.4% with alpha 2a; however it was 61% with alpha 2b type. This preceding data showed no statistical significance (p value: 0.735).

Degree of Fibrosis















Degree of Activity












Degree of Steatosis


















Table 1: Liver biopsy pathological findings.

The mean age of patients who achieved SVR was (41.76 ± 9.959), and the mean age of relapsers was (46.94 ± 7.778), these findings were statistically highly significant denoting that older patients will be unlikely to achieve SVR (p value: 0.001, T: - 11.166). However, the gender of the studied patients did not influence the response and showed statistical non significance (p value: 0.936).

Relation between SVR and laboratory findings

The baseline ALT and AST levels were higher in relapsers in comparison to patients who attained SVR, though it only showed highly significant relation with AST (p value: 0.207 and 0.001 respectively).

The total bilirubin and serum albumin were statistically significant with patients' response; however, there was no big difference between the values of relapsers and patients with SVR (p values: 0.011 & 0.001 respectively).

AFP was slightly elevated in the relapsers and that was statistically significant (p value: 0.001, T -5.326). Moreover, the platelet count was higher in the SVR group than the relapsers, that finding also showed statistical significance (p value: 0.001, T 5.191). The WBCs count and Hb showed statistical significance with the patient response (p: 0.019 & 0.027, T: 2.349 & - 2.214 respectively). Also, the p value of pre-treatment serum creatinine in relation to SVR was 0.001.

HCV RNA by PCR before treatment illustrated that the mean of SVR group was 611700.9± 122105.5 IU/ml, on the other hand, the mean of relapsers was 950203.6± 510934.5 IU/ml. That finding showed statistical significance (p value 0.03, T: -4.191).

Pre-enrollment fasting blood sugar, alkaline phosphatase, TSH, all of them had shown no statistical significance.

Out of 1486 enrolled patients, 1423 (95.8%) achieved negative HCV RNA after 12 weeks of treatment; of them 879 (61.8%) were negative for HCV RNA at week 72 of treatment and 544 (38.2%) were positive for HCV RNA at week 72. Nevertheless, only 63 (4.2%) of the treated patients attained only 2 log reduction at week 12; 63.5% of them could not achieve SVR .The preceding data showed high significance (p value: 0.001)

Relation between SVR , EVR and pathologic findings

The steatosis degree influenced SVR significantly with higher SVR achieved in patients with no or mild degrees of steatosis, also, higher rates of relapse were seen in patients with more severe degrees Table 2. Also, obviously steatosis was a dominant influencer for response during the course of treatment either at week 12 as shown in Table 3 or at week 72 as shown before in. That is to say, the more the steatosis degree the less chance to accomplish negative PCR for HCV at week 12.

Fibrosis (No/%)

Activity (No/%)

Steatosis (No/%)







































P value

0.04 (S)

0.001 (HS)

0.001 (HS)





Table 2: Relation between the response of patients treated with Peg/Riba with fibrosis, activity and Steatosis.

SVR: sustained virologic response, RLP: relapse

More than 60% of the patients with no or mild fibrosis stage showed SVR, however, patients with moderate and severe fibrosis showed less rates of SVR. Patients with mild activity showed much higher SVR than patients with severe or advanced activity Table 2.

Negative viral load after 12 weeks of treatment by PCR was significantly higher in patients with no or mild fibrosis stage (668/96.7%), it decreased when the patient had moderate to severe fibrosis stage (755/94.9%) and vice versa with patients who only attained 2 log reduction by week 12 (23/3.3% compared to 40/5.1%) (p value: 0.004). The relation between grade of activity and the early virological response was not of statistical significance Table 3.

By studying the non-matched baseline significant predictors of SVR by logistic regression model, it revealed that serum albumin and alpha fetoprotien were not significant predictors Table 4.

No to Mild
No (%)

Mod to Severe
No (%)

2 χ

P value



668 (96.7)

755 (94.9)



2 log decrease

23 (3.3)

40 (5.1)



1341 (95.7)

82 (94)



2 log decrease

58 (4.3)

5 (6)



(mild only)

517 (95.7)



906 (95.8)

2 log decrease

40 (4.2)

23 (4.3)

Table 3: Relation between PCR at WK12 and fibrosis, steatosis and grade of activity.


95% CI




0.001 (HS)


- 0.059-0.057

0.972 (NS)


- 0.001-0.000

0.016 (S)

α fetoprotein

- 0.001-0.007

0.139 (NS)


- 0.484-0.270

0.001 (HS)

Stage of fibrosis

- 0.040- 0.005

0.014 (S)

Degree of Steatosis


0.025 (S)



0.001 (HS)

T. Bil


0.014 (S)


- 0.031-0.004

0.012 (S)



0.001 (HS)

AST (40)


0.001 (HS)

RT-PCR baseline


0.024 (S)

Table 4: Predicted factors for response to Peg/Riba by logistic regression model.


Because of logistical and economic issues, in Egypt, as in other resource-limited settings, also because of the availability or resistance to DAAs, decision makers should determine for which HCV patient treatment should be prioritized. For instance, immediate treatment of patients with mild to moderate fibrosis stage is less expensive and more effective than delaying treatment. However, immediate treatment at stage F1 is only slightly more effective than waiting for disease to progress to stage F2 before starting treatment and is sensitive to the forthcoming availability of new DAAs. On the other hand treating patients at stage F4 is highly effective and cost-effective [4].

Liver biopsy has been considered as the “gold standard” for defin­ing liver disease status; it can be used to assess the degree of activity of an inflammatory process and the extent of fibrosis. The indications for this invasive technique must be weighed against the small, but not negligible, risk of a complication [5,6]. According to the study inclusion and exclusion criteria, we enrolled 1486 chronic HCV infected patients; all of them had completed the course of treatment (48 weeks).

Studying the pre-enrollment data revealed reliable and valuable information for treatment optimization. The age of the patient affected the response significantly in indirect manner; similar result was found in the review done by Reddy et al. [7]. However, in our results, gender did not influence the treatment outcome that was not the conclusion of the study done by Atsukawa et al. [8]. This controversy may be because the later study enrolled older patients [8].

Revising pre-treatment biochemical liver profile data has disclosed the significant inverse correlation between AST and the treatment outcome. As well, the serum Albumin and total bilirubin showed significant correlation with the patients' response to treatment. Nevertheless, ALT was higher in relapsers group but that finding did not show statistical significance. Patients' pretreatment hematological laboratory data showed significant relation with SVR. In particular, higher platelets count showed highly significant association with patient SVR. The Japanese researchers recognized that fact in their retrospective study, they found that the SVR rate of pretreatment platelet count < 130000/μL group was significantly lower than that of the pretreatment platelet count ≥ 130000/μL [9]. Pretreatment AFP showed lower levels in responders and higher levels in relapsers. Zayed et al in 2013 published a decision tree model based on the pretreatment AFP value as an initial split variable at a cutoff of 8.08 ng/ml [10,11].

The type of interferon either alpha 2a or alpha 2b as a predictor of response was a point of debate most of the time [12]. In this study, we found that there was no statistical significance between patients who had either type of Interferon and their treatment outcome. On the contrary, El Raziky [13] and her colleagues found significantly higher EVR and SVR in patients treated with peginterferon alpha 2a [13]. Furthermore, Mauss et al. [14] in published a study to estimate the likelihood of achieving SVR and they found that if patients were matched by baseline characteristics, treatment with peginterferon alpha 2a may be a positive predictor of SVR when compared to peginterferon alpha 2b [14].

Baseline viral load was lower in our SVR group and it was higher in the relapsers, that observation showed statistical significance [14,15].

Early virological response is still one of the cornerstones for prediction and continuation of INF therapy, in our study, almost 96% of patients accomplished complete EVR and 4 % had only 2 log reduction. Around two thirds of the patients who achieved cEVR had SVR. These findings were statistically significant, which was in agreement with the study done by Chuang and his team [16]. The Saudi researcher who studied patients with HCV genotype 4, the predominant genotype in Saudi Arabia, she found that EVR is an excellent positive predictor factor for SVR [15].

Statistically, in our study, the cEVR was more achievable in patients who had no or mild stage of hepatic fibrosis. That finding was also observed in hepatic steatosis in which pEVR was related directly to the disease severity. On the contrary, cEVR and pEVR were almost the same in all grades of disease activity but that finding was not of statistical significance, that was in agreement of Tanta university; faculty of medicine investigators [17].

The effect of liver biopsy findings on the SVR is a very crucial question that should be answered clearly. We studied here 1486 percutaneous liver biopsies done by experts at the same institution with the same techniques and examined by two independent pathologists to avoid either sample and or reading errors. The percent of F0 and F6 patients were low, that is because the national treatment program does not support those patients. However, these small numbers also added a significant statistical relation, with a strong impact on liver biopsy findings and the overall patient response to Peg/Riba. First, comparing the fibrosis stages with the treatment outcome at week 72, we found obviously a descending slope pattern of the SVR whereas the fibrosis stage increases. That finding is confirmed by doing Spearman-rho method, and revealed a negative value meaning an indirect correlation between SVR and hepatic fibrosis stage [18].

In our pathological data, the grade of activity showed clear negative relation with the patients SVR. On the other hand, the highest percent of relapsers could be seen in patients with severe activity. These findings are the same conclusion of the study done by Saad et al. [19] on 100 patients with chronic HCV genotype 4 [19].

Lastly, the steatosis degree was severe in almost two thirds of the relapsers and around 70% of patients who had no steatosis could achieve SVR. This indirect relation was also the finding of Fouad et al comparative study [20].

Logistic regression analyses were used to determine the effect of non-matched baseline variables and confounding factors on SVR. That model showed that age of the patient, pretreatment platelets counts, AST, baseline RT-PCR and w12 RT-PCR were true predictors of SVR. But serum albumin and AFP were not significant predictors. Furthermore, stage of fibrosis and degree of steatosis are negative predictors for SVR.

These study findings are important to decide antiviral course in patients with multiple DAA RAVs leading to failure. As for those who have NS5A RAVs but have no NS3 RAVs (eg, Q80K), simeprevir plus sofosbuvir plus ribavirin for 24 weeks is recommended. For those who can tolerate interferon, the addition of peginterferon may further enhance efficacy of these regimens [21]. For those with NS5A RAVs and NS3 RAVs, the only choice after DAA failure due to multiple mutations would be Peg/Riba with possible addition of another class of DAA.

Also, for patients with recurrent HCV infection following liver transplantation, sofosbuvir plus RBV and PEG-IFN are used. After week 12 of treatment, 91% of patients treated with sofosbuvir plus RBV and 75% of those treated with the addition of PEG-IFN achieved HCV RNA levels below the lower limit of quantification [21].


 The liver biopsy findings namely steatosis, fibrosis and activity could directly affect the treatment decision as it could affect the treatment outcome, besides it helps decision makers to put a national wide treatment strategy. This strategy should be tailored for Egyptian patients and disease burden, and using available facilities to overcome HCV. These findings are important to decide antiviral course by Peg/Riba in patients with multiple DAA RAVs leading to failure.

The biopsy experiences in our study mostly belong to treatment with Peg/Riba regimen instead of DAA and currently although the SVR rate with DAA is more than 90%, but a notable difference is observed in SVR, duration of therapy and side effects between cirrhotics and non-cirrhotics.

Not only the HCV infection treatment offers blazing new trails but also non-invasive tests to evaluate liver stage of fibrosis and degree of steatosis do. Guidelines are on the way for approving those non-invasive tests, so the real role of liver biopsy is declining as an aggressive method.


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